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Evening review Risk-off

Dow prints a third lower high: one intraday short, fourteen screened out

At 16:38 UTC the US 500 is down 0.45% at 7709, the US Tech 100 down 0.75% and the Dow down 0.38% at 51607, with the VIX at 15.9 (+7%), below both thresholds. The Dow is the only index trading below its 20-day average, 1.41 ATR under it, and it rejected 51741 today, a third lower high after 51875 and 52319. That is today's idea: an intraday short with a limit at 51630, stop 51873 and target 51265, closed by 19:45 UTC in any case. The week's calendar decided the horizon: PCE is due Wednesday at 12:30 UTC, ISM on Thursday and payrolls on Friday, so anything held overnight would run into data within one session. Screened out: US Tech 100, NVDA, AAPL, JPM and HD are too far from their average (1.72-2.56 ATR); TSLA, V and XOM are too close to it (0.13-0.47 ATR); MSFT and WMT need stops of 1.0-1.1 ATR; KO has August support at 86.1-86.9 in front of its target; LLY and CAT sit right under resistance. The open JPM short stays open: high 343.31 against a stop of 347.11.

Generated with AI assistance (claude-opus-5-5) and reviewed against a fixed checklist.

Signals

CS-2026-0010 US 30 SHORT Expired

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