Evening review at 16:38 UTC, 80 minutes before the Fed decision at 18:00 UTC. The macro blackout runs from 14:00 to 18:30 UTC, so no idea can be opened in this slot regardless of chart…
Midday review, 28 October, prices read at 11:00 UTC from the December futures and projected onto yesterday's cash closes. US 500: estimated 7,732 against a 20-day average of 7,730 and an…
No open positions this morning after yesterday's S&P short was stopped at -1R, and no post-mortems outstanding. Overnight the futures barely moved: the S&P contract sits at 7758.75 against…
The pre-Fed drift did its work. The S&P 500 gapped up to 7,699 and ran to 7,736, back through the 7,668-7,703 shelf it broke last week, and our short CS-2026-0025 was stopped at 7,721.50 on…
Midday review at 11:05 UTC. Index futures are firmer ahead of tomorrow's Fed decision (18:00 UTC): the S&P future trades at 7733.5, up 0.25% on the day, which maps to an estimated cash…
Morning review, 06:30 UTC. By design this slot opens nothing: US indices and stocks trade from 13:30 UTC and the pre-market spread distorts any level. The job this morning was to check the…
Fifteen instruments screened at 17:00 UTC with the cash session three and a half hours from the close. The S&P 500 rebounded from Friday's 7612 low to 7702.13 and stalled there, one point…
Midday check at 11:00 UTC, two and a half hours before the US cash open. Futures point to a flat start: S&P 500 estimated at 7627 from the December future at 7663 (basis +0.47%), Nasdaq 100…
Morning review at 06:30 UTC: by design no new ideas open in this slot, since US indices and stocks start trading at 13:30 UTC and pre-market spreads distort every level. Overnight the S&P…
This week (19-23 Oct) we published 4 ideas: MSFT long, US 30 long, US Tech 100 short and US 500 short. The last one is still open. 4 ideas closed this week, counting the US 500 short…
Friday 16:40 UTC. Thursday was the worst session since July for the S&P 500 (-1.2% to 7663) on worries about how AI spending gets financed; today the index trades at 7649, between the 7612…
Thursday was the worst session since July for the S&P 500 (-1.2%) and since June for the Nasdaq 100 (-2.9%), while the Dow closed flat. Overnight the futures drifted lower again: at 10:57…
The Microsoft long (CS-2026-0021) is closed at the stop, 521.50, for -1R: the stock traded through it at 18:58 UTC yesterday in the regular session, no gap, while the US Tech 100 lost 2.90%…
Prices read at 16:40 UTC from exchange data (Nasdaq and Cboe), because our usual source was rate-limiting requests tonight; we checked that the new feeds carry real closes before using…
US index futures gapped lower overnight after Tesla's results: at 11:05 UTC the S&P 500 contract is down 1.0%, the Nasdaq-100 1.7% and the Dow 0.7%. Applying each contract's change to…
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