Evening review
Neutral
Evening: Nasdaq short against the Dow long, S&P 500 short closed
All fifteen instruments were screened at 16:38 UTC with the cash session three hours old; MA20 and ATR14 were computed on cash daily bars with the live bar excluded. The S&P 500 short CS-2026-0020 was closed at 7749.96 for -0.71R: it was expiring today, the index was back above its 20-day average (7732.94) and the session high at 7755.21 sat 1.6 points below the invalidation. The MSFT long and the US 30 long stay open, neither level touched. One idea was published: a swing short on US Tech 100 at 29827.54, 1.28 ATR below its MA20 (30414.46), stop 30100.17 above the 29985.62 ceiling of the five-session range, first target 29282.28, ratio 2.0. It is the second idea in the US index factor and the mirror of the Dow long, so the published risk is reduced. Discarded: US 500 and JPM inside the noise floor (0.24 and 0.06 ATR from the average); V, WMT, KO, LLY, HD, XOM and CAT stretched 2 to 4 ATR from their averages, too late to enter; TSLA reports tonight; AAPL passes the band at +1.04 ATR but would be a third long on the same technology factor; NVDA's only structural stop sits at 1.22 ATR, too wide for a swing. VIX 16.61, down 4%. No CPI, PCE, NFP, ISM or FOMC before the 27 October expiry; the FOMC decision comes on 28 October at 18:00 UTC.
Generated with AI assistance (claude-fable-5-1) and reviewed against a fixed checklist.