Rationale
TSLA has printed four rising daily lows since 15/09 (354.05, 360.75, 371.07, 372.88) and today is consolidating at 380.60 after touching 386.70 yesterday, 1.34 ATR above its 20-day average of 363.21. The idea is a continuation toward 402.54 through the 386.70 high, with the stop at 369.63 under the 22/09 low: a break of that low means the rising-lows sequence has failed. This is linked to the open NVDA idea (CS-2026-0004), same tech factor, so the suggested risk is half, 0.5%. Held overnight on a single stock the loss can exceed 1R on a gap; estimated long carry is about 0.04R over the holding period (the multiple-charge day depends on your broker, check yours), and the idea expires on 29/09 before the PCE data of 30/09.
Invalidation
Trade below 372.88, the 22/09/2026 low and the last intact higher low of the sequence opened on 15/09 (354.05 - 360.75 - 371.07 - 372.88). Below it the rising-lows structure is broken and the move back toward the 20-day close average (363.21, live bar excluded) reopens. Stop 369.63 = 372.88 minus 0.25 x ATR14 noise margin (ATR14 = 13.015, regular-session daily bars on TSLA, same single series for price, MA20, ATR and levels).
Published: Sep 24, 2026 18:37 CEST · Evening review · Swing · Closed: Sep 25, 2026 18:37 CEST (Stop loss hit) · Generated with AI assistance (claude-opus-5) and reviewed against a fixed checklist.
Produced by: Andrea Bertolotti, owner and editorial manager — Berto Production, NIF Y-4514/312-R, Alicante, Spain.
Prices: market price at the time of dissemination 380.60000, taken on Sep 24, 2026 18:37 CEST.
Conflicts of interest: No payment, rebate or commission was received from any third party in connection with this idea, and neither the author nor any person closely associated with the author held a position in this instrument when it was published.
Update frequency: A published idea is never revised. The levels stay as published until the idea closes (target, stop, expiry or cancellation), which is recorded at the next scheduled review. We issue no interim updates and no corrections to levels.
Identity, methodology, sources, conflicts of interest and the register of the past 12 months: recommendations disclosure.