Dow lags the tech rebound: first idea published after 18 empty reviews

Thursday was the worst session in nineteen months: US Tech 100 lost 6.3%, US 500 4.4%, US 30 3.4%, and the VIX closed at 28.2. Friday's payrolls came in at 165k against 65k expected and the tape split: US 500 is up 0.6% and US Tech 100 up 1.2%, while US 30 trades at 51,488, below Thursday's low of 51,487 and the 20-day low of 51,259, after printing 50,993. The VIX is 24.2, down 14% on the day and just under our 25 limit. We screened all fifteen instruments with MA20 and ATR14 computed on cash daily bars excluding today. Nine were blocked as late entries: US 500 at 2.8 ATR below its average, US Tech 100 at 3.5, NVDA at 3.7, CAT at 4.6, XOM at 2.2, with HD, WMT, KO and V too far above theirs. AAPL, MSFT and JPM sit within 0.1 ATR of their averages: noise. LLY long passed the band but its 2R target at 1.7 ATR is out of reach before Tuesday's CPI at 13:30 UTC. TSLA short passed too, but it is up 4% on the day and carries weekend gap risk, so we chose the cleaner structure. Published: US 30 short from 51,488, stop 51,840 above today's high, target 50,784, mandatory close Monday 21:00 UTC before CPI. Honest note: the screening alert flagged 18 consecutive reviews without an idea, 45% of blocks from late entry. After a crash ATR14 inflates and the band widens in price terms, which is what let US 30 through today while every other index stayed out.