Evening review
Neutral
Exxon long stopped out after inventories; Fed minutes block five candidates
At 16:35 UTC we screened 15 instruments on cash prices. The session is mildly defensive: US 500 7,795 (-0.3%), US Tech 100 31,092 (-0.4%), US 30 51,181 (-0.7%), VIX 15.4 (+2.5%). Caterpillar is the outlier, down 5.8% to 813.50. The Exxon long (CS-2026-0014) was closed at its 164.03 stop: the regular-session 14:35 UTC bar traded down to 163.86, five minutes after the oil inventory report. Result -1.0R. Our post-mortem rates it a process error, not bad luck. The idea had itself flagged falling crude and that report, then published anyway. Six instruments are past the 1.5 ATR late-entry limit (US Tech 100 +2.62, JPM -2.49, NVDA +2.29) and three sit inside the 0.5 ATR noise floor (AAPL, CAT, XOM). Five are inside the band: Dow and KO for shorts, TSLA, V and WMT for longs. All five are blocked by the Fed minutes at 18:00 UTC, which fall inside any exposure window opened now. An intraday trade closed before 17:45 would need a stop under 0.35 ATR. No idea tonight. Positions open: none.
Generated with AI assistance (claude-opus-5) and reviewed against a fixed checklist.