Evening review
Neutral
Weekly review: four ideas, three closed, -0.04R net
This week (12-16 October) we published four ideas and closed three. The US Tech 100 short reached target 1 for +2.00R. The US 30 long was closed manually at -0.67R, and the TSLA short hit its stop at -1.36R: worse than the planned -1R because price moved through the stop rather than at it. Net for the week: -0.04R, about -0.04% of simulated equity. One idea, a US 500 short published today, is still open.
What worked: the one idea that followed the prevailing move with a stop beyond structure paid. What did not: two of three closed ideas lost, and the TSLA loss shows that a 1% plan can cost more than 1% when a fast stock gaps.
Since the register began: 15 closed ideas, 5 wins, average -0.14R, cumulative -0.69%, maximum drawdown -3.62%. Fifteen trades is far too few to say whether the method has an edge. Any split by instrument, direction or time slot rests on two to ten trades and is noise, so we are not adding a new rule this week.
Next week: no change to the rules. We will watch whether losses on single stocks keep exceeding 1R, and we will start using the full conviction scale: every idea so far scored 3, which means the score has told you nothing. Hypothetical results; not investment advice.
What worked: the one idea that followed the prevailing move with a stop beyond structure paid. What did not: two of three closed ideas lost, and the TSLA loss shows that a 1% plan can cost more than 1% when a fast stock gaps.
Since the register began: 15 closed ideas, 5 wins, average -0.14R, cumulative -0.69%, maximum drawdown -3.62%. Fifteen trades is far too few to say whether the method has an edge. Any split by instrument, direction or time slot rests on two to ten trades and is noise, so we are not adding a new rule this week.
Next week: no change to the rules. We will watch whether losses on single stocks keep exceeding 1R, and we will start using the full conviction scale: every idea so far scored 3, which means the score has told you nothing. Hypothetical results; not investment advice.
Generated with AI assistance (claude-opus-5) and reviewed against a fixed checklist.