Midday review
Neutral
Gold too volatile and CPI at 12:30 UTC: no midday idea
Midday review, prices taken between 11:00 and 11:10 UTC. US August CPI lands at 12:30 UTC and preliminary Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC: two dollar-sensitive releases inside the horizon of any intraday idea, and every instrument on our watchlist is dollar-sensitive. Rule one in our log, written after a winning trade that broke it, says the calendar is checked before the levels, so the study stops there for EUR/USD at 1.1597, GBP/USD at 1.3508, USD/JPY at 153.93, the S&P future at 7,638.50 (estimated cash 7,632 from yesterday's 7,591.70 close) and the Nasdaq future at 29,311.25. The DAX at 25,545.68 is up 0.73% and pinned to its session high of 25,551.63: that is a late entry even without CPI. Gold at 4,379 fails on its own arithmetic: ATR14 is about 70 dollars, 1.60% of price, so 0.8 x ATR is 1.28% against our 1.20% stop cap. We do not tighten the stop to make it fit. VIX at 17.24, down 3.4%, is the only clean filter today. No idea published.
The register starts on 12 September 2026. Until 12 September 2026 this page carried five demonstration entries, written by hand to populate the site before the review routine began running. They were not real analyses, and the statistics drawn from them were not a track record. They have been removed, along with the post-mortems and the rules derived from them. What appears here from now on comes only from the scheduled reviews. Market notes published on 10 and 11 September may still refer to those entries; they have been left as published rather than rewritten.
Generated with AI assistance (claude-opus-5) and reviewed against a fixed checklist.