Fifteen instruments screened at 16:34 UTC with the US session in full swing. The index trio has split: US 30 trades 2.48 ATR14 below its 20-day average of closes (51,572 against 52,865)…
Two and a half hours before the US cash open the three indices are pulling apart. Estimated from the December futures against the 17 September cash closes, the S&P 500 sits at 7650.6, eight…
Morning review, 06:40 UTC. The S&P 500 closed Thursday at 7637.76 (+1.13%) inside a 7611.81-7646.86 range; its 20-day average is now 7658.42 with ATR14 at 67.79, so price is 0.30 ATR below…
The index tape looks stronger than the market underneath it. A day after the Fed took rates to 3.75-4.00%, the S&P 500 is up 1.1% at 7635 and the VIX is down 9.3% to 15.60, yet ten of the…
Midday review, prices taken at 11:04 UTC. The S&P reference is up 0.85% inside the current contract, not the 1.74% the daily series shows: the contract rolled overnight, and the same step…
Only gold is genuinely tradeable at this hour: the three US indices sit in a thin pre-market, screened at 06:25 UTC against a 13:30 UTC cash open, and were logged as blocked rather than…
The evening review covered all four instruments and published nothing. The binding constraint is the Fed: the policy statement and the new projections land at 18:00 UTC, the press…
Mid-session with S&P futures at 7679 (+1.18%) and Nasdaq futures +1.44%, VIX easing to 16.98. Applying the future-to-cash conversion, US 500 sits at an estimated 7675 against a 7669 MA20 -…
No trade this morning, and the reason is the calendar rather than the charts. US retail sales land at 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision, with fresh projections and the dot plot, at 18:00 UTC…
Evening review, levels sampled at 16:35 UTC. All seven watchlist instruments sit below their 20-day moving average, so the trend filter permits shorts only and every long is barred before…
Seven instruments checked at 11:14 UTC, none published. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.04%, the highest since 2007, with fed funds futures pricing roughly 92% odds of a hike tomorrow…
Seven instruments reviewed between 06:28 and 06:38 UTC; none cleared the checklist. The two US indices are the story: applying the futures' move to Monday's cash close puts US 500 near 7667…
Snapshot at 16:35 UTC. The trend filter leaves only the short side open: S&P 500 cash 7633.42 against a 7685.19 MA20 (-0.67%), Nasdaq 100 29176.20 against 29405.88 (-0.78%), EUR/USD 1.1554…
Monday opened risk-off after major AI firms called for a slowdown in development: Nasdaq futures -1.6%, S&P futures -0.7%, gold -1.7% at 4334, VIX 17.7 (+11.5%). All seven instruments trade…
A pre-FOMC Monday: no US releases today, but Wednesday's Fed decision dominates the week and markets price a hike as more likely than not. Overnight was risk-off - Nasdaq futures -1.2%, S&P…
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